Here are my latest updates for my core positions, including recent news and a breakdown of the previous days macro economic data. Maybe a couple of interesting news bits and bobs for the general market sprinkled in as a bonus too.
Monday: ETH, BTC and SOL
Tuesday: Tesla
Wednesday: SOFI
Thursday: PayPal
Monday – This Weeks Crypto, Bitcoin and SOL Update
πΎπͺπ§π§ππ£π© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 4.45% for Eth, 10.34% for BTC and 9.51% for SOL
πππ§πππ© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 15% or less each but may spike as the asset price rises.
ππͺπ£πππ’ππ£π©ππ‘π¨ and Technicals:
Too much to list since im talking about 3 assets in the videoβs, so your gonna have to check it out π
Check out my detailed CleanSpark Thesis on my website for free here, just register for a free account: thecraftytrader.com/cleanspark-thesis/
ππ§ππ’π¨ ππ£π πΌπππ¨:
None
βΆοΈππ€πͺπ©πͺππ: @Crafty_Trader
π: @Crafty_Trader
Tuesday – Old Tesla Update
πΎπͺπ§π§ππ£π© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 8.89%
πππ§πππ© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 10% but would love to rotate crypto gains into this one.
ππͺπ£πππ’ππ£π©ππ‘π¨:
As a car company, price is elevated and over fair value. If we start to price in some of the future products though, things are still very attractive. It’s hard to build models when you don’t have much idea of prices etc. Really want to stress this is a more speculative position for me, and I’m betting Tesla will be very successful in at least 2 of its new sectors. Mainly I’m excited about energy storage, Semi’s, the compact car and FSD (Not including the Taxi)
Price action on this is front running the underlying fundamentals, so expect some volatility.
Check out my detailed Tesla Thesis on my website for free here:
πππππ£ππππ‘π¨:
Supports:
$419 FIB line and vol shelf, $400 prior key level and psychological level.
Resistance:
$444 at resistance, $465 above that as prior all high, and wicks sitting above that at $490
Highlights:
Strong basing patterns going on here with support for golden bar flow marks, bottom catches and volume shelves.
Concerns:
Retail hates this one at the moment, but that seems to be improving
ππ§ππ’π¨ ππ£π πΌπππ¨:
No plans to add more unless we get a decent drop, as I’m happy with my weighting in this now.
βΆοΈππ€πͺπ©πͺππ: @Crafty_Trader
π: @Crafty_Trader
Wednesday – Old SOFI Update
πΎπͺπ§π§ππ£π© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 10.16%.
πππ§πππ© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 10% up to fair value, would love to rotate crypto gains into this one if it stays low.
ππͺπ£πππ’ππ£π©ππ‘π¨:
The good:
In my opinion Sofi is still very cheap over a multiyear timeframe but for now, Itβs sitting at fair value to me and I donβt plan to add more unless we get a pull back. The company has been able to pivot and show impressive growth during a rough macro environment. They even managed to move to profitability and have not only re-iterated that they will stay in the green, but they also raised guidance at each subsequent quarterly meeting. I do expect this number to keep getting raised as th
The bad:
Canβt say much bad apart from it being well priced right now.
Check out my detailed Sofi Thesis on my website for free here:
πππππ£ππππ‘π¨:
Supports:
$26.17 is strong prior support and volume, below is a little choppier, some at $24.89 and a stronger level at $23.17. Iβd love to back test that area and increase my position. It already sold off nicely through the day.
Resistance:
$30 is psychological resistance, and above that we have a fib at $30.93.
Highlights:
Momentum has shifted on wall street; tough to add where price is now.
Concerns:
Price getting extended.
ππ§ππ’π¨ ππ£π πΌπππ¨:
No longer adding or trimming at the moment.
βΆοΈππ€πͺπ©πͺππ: @Crafty_Trader
π: @Crafty_Trader
Thursday – Old PayPal Update
πΎπͺπ§π§ππ£π© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: 6%
πππ§πππ© π¬πππππ©ππ£π: Max 15% up to $124.
ππͺπ£πππ’ππ£π©ππ‘π¨:
The good: I still think PayPal is cheap based on todayβs underlying fundamentals and even cheaper if we add in Fastlane and the ADβs business. The CEO has been a huge driving force in pushing this company forward and bringing skills he honed over at Intuit. Products have filtered down the chain at impressive speed and partnerships have been coming thick and fast. Right out of the gate he was able to stabilise the company and is now moving forward with plans that will be very beneficial to margins and the bottom line. The share buy backs have been an excellent use of their monster cash flow and Iβm very excited to see what else he has up his sleeve.
The bad: The company has a very bloated workforce, and trimming would be nice to see in the future. The new honey news is a concern but overall doesnβt affect the financials much, the direct impact will be to the brand.
Check out my detailed PayPal Thesis on my website for free here, just register for a free account:
πππππ£ππππ‘π¨:
Resistance: $77 has rejected us recently and is where market makers sit in the options market. Above that, we have another prior high paired with a volume shelf and measured move at $78, so itβs a tough spot if we canβt burst through with some energy.
Support: $72 at the bull market support band and another volume shelf offers decent support, but below that a larger volume shelf and stronger historical support.
ππ§ππ’π¨ ππ£π πΌπππ¨:
I wonβt be trimming much of this until we get to my fair value at $124. Volatility is low on this asset so not worth trimming but I have added a lot to this on the swift drop.
I also usually trim any large upside moves that are out of character and book some gains to add back later if we get a substantial drop. If that doesnβt happen, Iβm happy to hold my running position. Never be upset taking profits.
βΆοΈππ€πͺπ©πͺππ: @Crafty_Trader
π: @Crafty_Trader


