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𝘾𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 3.53% for CLSK – I have deposited 185% cash into my Etoro account over the weekend and this has lowered my weighting in stocks temporarily. It should raise back to around 8% over the coming weeks as I deploy that cash.

𝙏𝙖𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 15% or less but may spike as the asset price rises.

𝙁𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡𝙨:

The good: I’m not specifically trading this one based on its ‘’fair’’ valuation like a lot of the stocks I’m holding. I’m using it as a leveraged BTC play. That said I do find CLSK the ‘’best in class’’ miner and its stock price depends a lot on the price of BTC. That’s a roundabout way of saying, should BTC peak in my expected $204K to $280k range, I would expect the ‘’fair’’ value of CLSK to be between $45 and $120. I’m sure you can appreciate that is a large range, so make sure you are paying attention to BTC price action.

𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙨:

Resistance: $96k at the volume shelf, $100k psychological level that’s been strong support previously and approx. $110k at the orange trend line resistance.

Support: $92k bull market support band, Already had a nice back test on it, $88k FIB level, and $84k previous support.

𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝘼𝙙𝙙𝙨:

Would like to hold most of my current position to at least $20 at the whopper volume shelf. As mentioned previously I will also be adding a lot to this position at these low prices.

𝘾𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 4.98%

𝙏𝙖𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 10% but would love to rotate crypto gains into this one.

𝙁𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡𝙨:

As a car company, price is elevated and over fair value. If we start to price in some of the future products though, things are still very attractive. It’s hard to build models when you don’t have much idea of prices etc. Really want to stress this is a more speculative position for me, and I’m betting Tesla will be very successful in at least 2 of its new sectors. Mainly I’m excited about energy storage, Semi’s, the compact car and FSD (Not including the Taxi)

Price action on this is front running the underlying fundamentals, so expect some volatility.

Check out my detailed Tesla Thesis on my website for free here:

https://thecraftytrader.com/tesla-thesis/

𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙨:

Not much use in a fear driven broad market sell off

𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝘼𝙙𝙙𝙨:

Plan on buying a lot of shares over the next 6 months

𝘾𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 6.24%.

𝙏𝙖𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 10% up to fair value, would love to rotate crypto gains into this one if it stays low.

𝙁𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡𝙨:

The good:

In my opinion Sofi is still very cheap over a multiyear timeframe but for now my fair value is $16 but I’m willing to pay up to $21 into 2026. The company has been able to pivot and show impressive growth during a rough macro environment. They even managed to move to profitability and have not only re-iterated that they will stay in the green, but they also raised guidance at each subsequent quarterly meeting. I do expect this number to keep getting raised as the company continues to expand its product offering into a rate environment that should help it flourish.

The bad:

The Macro is driving this one. Don’t expect this to change any time soon. Especially now Cathie Wood has dumped the stock. Everyone moans about her sells/buys but still follows along.

Check out my detailed Sofi Thesis on my website for free here:

https://thecraftytrader.com/sofi-thesis/

𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙨:

Supports:

$10.83 at the FIB, $10.22 at prior resistance/support and $9.90 at the FIB and volume shelf.

Resistance:

$11.55 at prior resistance, $12.04 at FIB level and $13:06 at prior support.

Highlights:

Technical analysis isn’t much helpful in a market as fearful as this one. So don’t be shocked if a lot of the levels we talk about get smoked. This is totally normal when sentiment is chopping things up.

Concerns:

The bearish head and shoulders pattern we talked about is in play, with a target of $10. I credit this pattern for the strike volume we are seeing in the open options interest for this week at $10. Would love for it to get that low, would deploy the rest of my cash if it did.

𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝘼𝙙𝙙𝙨:

I’ll be adding to this after my 1^st of month deposit aggressively. Would love for price to break lower.

𝘾𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: 6.49% – My weighting is much smaller because I added 185% more cash to my account.

𝙏𝙖𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜: Max 15% up to $124.

𝙁𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡𝙨:

The good: I still think PayPal is cheap based on today’s underlying fundamentals and even cheaper if we add in Fastlane and the AD’s business. The CEO has been a huge driving force in pushing this company forward and bringing skills he honed over at Intuit. Products have filtered down the chain at impressive speed and partnerships have been coming thick and fast. Right out of the gate he was able to stabilise the company and is now moving forward with plans that will be very beneficial to margins and the bottom line. The share buy backs have been an excellent use of their monster cash flow and I’m very excited to see what else he has up his sleeve.

The bad: The company has a very bloated workforce, and trimming would be nice to see in the future. The new honey news is a concern but overall doesn’t affect the financials much, the direct impact will be to the brand.

Check out my detailed PayPal Thesis on my website for free here, just register for a free account:

https://thecraftytrader.com/paypal-thesis/

𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙨:

Resistance: $71.46 at the volume shelf, $75.35 at previous resistance/support and $79 at previous resistance/support and volume shelf.

𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝘼𝙙𝙙𝙨:

I won’t be trimming much of this until we get to my fair value at $124. Volatility is low on this asset so not worth trimming and adding much.