Latest News

Here are my latest updates for my core positions, including recent news and a breakdown of the previous days macro economic data. Maybe a couple of interesting news bits and bobs for the general market sprinkled in as a bonus too.

Monday: ETH, BTC and SOL

Tuesday: Tesla

Wednesday: SOFI

Thursday: PayPal

Monday – This Weeks Crypto, Bitcoin and SOL Update

𝘾π™ͺπ™§π™§π™šπ™£π™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 4.45% for Eth, 10.34% for BTC and 9.51% for SOL

π™π™–π™§π™œπ™šπ™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 15% or less each but may spike as the asset price rises.

𝙁π™ͺπ™£π™™π™–π™’π™šπ™£π™©π™–π™‘π™¨ and Technicals:

Too much to list since im talking about 3 assets in the video’s, so your gonna have to check it out πŸ˜›

Check out my detailed CleanSpark Thesis on my website for free here, just register for a free account: thecraftytrader.com/cleanspark-thesis/

π™π™§π™žπ™’π™¨ 𝙖𝙣𝙙 π˜Όπ™™π™™π™¨:

None

▢️𝙔𝙀π™ͺ𝙩π™ͺπ™—π™š: @Crafty_Trader

𝕏: @Crafty_Trader


Tuesday – Old Tesla Update

𝘾π™ͺπ™§π™§π™šπ™£π™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 8.89%

π™π™–π™§π™œπ™šπ™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 10% but would love to rotate crypto gains into this one.

𝙁π™ͺπ™£π™™π™–π™’π™šπ™£π™©π™–π™‘π™¨:

As a car company, price is elevated and over fair value. If we start to price in some of the future products though, things are still very attractive. It’s hard to build models when you don’t have much idea of prices etc. Really want to stress this is a more speculative position for me, and I’m betting Tesla will be very successful in at least 2 of its new sectors. Mainly I’m excited about energy storage, Semi’s, the compact car and FSD (Not including the Taxi)

Price action on this is front running the underlying fundamentals, so expect some volatility.

Check out my detailed Tesla Thesis on my website for free here:

https://thecraftytrader.com/tesla-thesis/

π™π™šπ™˜π™π™£π™žπ™˜π™–π™‘π™¨:

Supports:

$419 FIB line and vol shelf, $400 prior key level and psychological level.

Resistance:

$444 at resistance, $465 above that as prior all high, and wicks sitting above that at $490

Highlights:

Strong basing patterns going on here with support for golden bar flow marks, bottom catches and volume shelves.

Concerns:

Retail hates this one at the moment, but that seems to be improving

π™π™§π™žπ™’π™¨ 𝙖𝙣𝙙 π˜Όπ™™π™™π™¨:

No plans to add more unless we get a decent drop, as I’m happy with my weighting in this now.

▢️𝙔𝙀π™ͺ𝙩π™ͺπ™—π™š: @Crafty_Trader

𝕏: @Crafty_Trader


Wednesday – Old SOFI Update

𝘾π™ͺπ™§π™§π™šπ™£π™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 10.16%.

π™π™–π™§π™œπ™šπ™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 10% up to fair value, would love to rotate crypto gains into this one if it stays low.

𝙁π™ͺπ™£π™™π™–π™’π™šπ™£π™©π™–π™‘π™¨:

The good:

In my opinion Sofi is still very cheap over a multiyear timeframe but for now, It’s sitting at fair value to me and I don’t plan to add more unless we get a pull back. The company has been able to pivot and show impressive growth during a rough macro environment. They even managed to move to profitability and have not only re-iterated that they will stay in the green, but they also raised guidance at each subsequent quarterly meeting. I do expect this number to keep getting raised as th

The bad:

Can’t say much bad apart from it being well priced right now.

Check out my detailed Sofi Thesis on my website for free here:

https://thecraftytrader.com/sofi-thesis/

π™π™šπ™˜π™π™£π™žπ™˜π™–π™‘π™¨:

Supports:

$26.17 is strong prior support and volume, below is a little choppier, some at $24.89 and a stronger level at $23.17. I’d love to back test that area and increase my position. It already sold off nicely through the day.

Resistance:

$30 is psychological resistance, and above that we have a fib at $30.93.

Highlights:

Momentum has shifted on wall street; tough to add where price is now.

Concerns:

Price getting extended.

π™π™§π™žπ™’π™¨ 𝙖𝙣𝙙 π˜Όπ™™π™™π™¨:

No longer adding or trimming at the moment.

▢️𝙔𝙀π™ͺ𝙩π™ͺπ™—π™š: @Crafty_Trader

𝕏: @Crafty_Trader


Thursday – Old PayPal Update

𝘾π™ͺπ™§π™§π™šπ™£π™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: 6%

π™π™–π™§π™œπ™šπ™© π™¬π™šπ™žπ™œπ™π™©π™žπ™£π™œ: Max 15% up to $124.

𝙁π™ͺπ™£π™™π™–π™’π™šπ™£π™©π™–π™‘π™¨:

The good: I still think PayPal is cheap based on today’s underlying fundamentals and even cheaper if we add in Fastlane and the AD’s business. The CEO has been a huge driving force in pushing this company forward and bringing skills he honed over at Intuit. Products have filtered down the chain at impressive speed and partnerships have been coming thick and fast. Right out of the gate he was able to stabilise the company and is now moving forward with plans that will be very beneficial to margins and the bottom line. The share buy backs have been an excellent use of their monster cash flow and I’m very excited to see what else he has up his sleeve.

The bad: The company has a very bloated workforce, and trimming would be nice to see in the future. The new honey news is a concern but overall doesn’t affect the financials much, the direct impact will be to the brand.

Check out my detailed PayPal Thesis on my website for free here, just register for a free account:

https://thecraftytrader.com/paypal-thesis/

π™π™šπ™˜π™π™£π™žπ™˜π™–π™‘π™¨:

Resistance: $77 has rejected us recently and is where market makers sit in the options market. Above that, we have another prior high paired with a volume shelf and measured move at $78, so it’s a tough spot if we can’t burst through with some energy.

Support: $72 at the bull market support band and another volume shelf offers decent support, but below that a larger volume shelf and stronger historical support.

π™π™§π™žπ™’π™¨ 𝙖𝙣𝙙 π˜Όπ™™π™™π™¨:

I won’t be trimming much of this until we get to my fair value at $124. Volatility is low on this asset so not worth trimming but I have added a lot to this on the swift drop.

I also usually trim any large upside moves that are out of character and book some gains to add back later if we get a substantial drop. If that doesn’t happen, I’m happy to hold my running position. Never be upset taking profits.

▢️𝙔𝙀π™ͺ𝙩π™ͺπ™—π™š: @Crafty_Trader

𝕏: @Crafty_Trader